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researcher

Shapovalenko Nadia

Chief Economist, Modeling Unit, Monetary Policy and Economic Analysis Department

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Research interests

Macroeconomics, Applied econometrics and big data, Structural modeling
Selected Publications

Articles

Shapovalenko, N. (2021). A Suite of Models for CPI Forecasting. Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, 252, 4-36. https://doi.org/10.26531/vnbu2021.252.01

Shapovalenko, N. (2021). A BVAR Model for forecasting Ukrainian inflation and GDP. Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, 251, 14-36. https://doi.org/10.26531/vnbu2021.251.02 

Tokarchuk, T. Shapovalenko, N., (2016). Analysis of external imbalances in the economy of Ukraine on the basis of determining an acceptable level of the current account of balance of payments (In Ukrainian). The Problems of Economy, 4, 57-66. Retrieved from https://www.problecon.com/export_pdf/problems-of-economy-2016-4_0-pages-57_66.pdf

Shapovalenko, N. (2015). Assessment of the impact of income factors and relative prices on the foreign trade flows (In Ukraininan). Ekonomichnyy analiz, 19(1), 240–247. Retrieved from https://www.econa.org.ua/index.php/econa/article/view/769

Nikolaychuk, S., Shapovalenko, N. (2014). The Identification of the determinants of current Account balance in Ukraine (In Ukrainian). Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, 216(2), 20–27. Retrieved from https://journal.bank.gov.ua/archive/2014/2.pdf.

 

Working Papers

Shapovalenko, N. (2021). A BVAR Model for Forecasting Ukrainian Inflation. IHEID Working Papers, 05-2021. Geneva: The Graduate Institute of International Studies. Retrieved from http://repec.graduateinstitute.ch/pdfs/Working_papers/HEIDWP05-2021.pdf

Fаrynа, O., Jonsson, M., Shapovalenko, N. (2019). Disinflation in Closed and Small Open Economies. NBU Working Papers, 1/2019. Kyiv: National Bank of Ukraine. Retrieved from https://bank.gov.ua/admin_uploads/article/wp_nbu_2019-1_Faryna_eng.pdf

Nikolaychuk, S., Shapovalenko, N. (2013). The Identification of the Sources of Current Account Fluctuations in Ukraine. EERC Working Paper Series, 13/12E. Economic Education and Research Consortium.