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researcher

Grui Anton

Head of the Macroeconomic Forecasting Division, National Bank of Ukraine
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Research interests

Macroeconomics,
Monetary economics,
Structural modeling
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Selected Publications

Articles

Grui, A., Lepushynskyi, V., Nikolaychuk, S. (2018). A neutral real interest rate in the case of a small open economy: Application to Ukraine. Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, 243, 4–20. https://doi.org/10.26531/vnbu2018.243.004

Grui, A., Lysenko, R. (2017). Nowcasting Ukraine's GDP using a factor-augmented VAR (FAVAR) model. Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, 242, 5–13. https://doi.org/10.26531/vnbu2017.242.005

Grui, A., Lepushynskyi, V. (2016). Applying foreign exchange interventions as an additional instrument under inflation targeting: The case of Ukraine. Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, 238, 39–56. https://doi.org/10.26531/vnbu2016.238.039

Working Papers

Grui, A. (2024). Wartime interest rate pass-through in Ukraine: The role of prudential indicators. IES Working Paper, 33/2024. Prague: Charles University in Prague, Institute of Economic Studies (IES). Retrieved from https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/303263/1/190387193X.pdf

Grui, A., Aragon, N., Faryna, O., Krukovets, D., Savolchuk, K., Sulimenko, O., Vdovychenko, A., Zholud, O. (2023). Between russian invasions: The monetary policy transmission mechanism in Ukraine in 2015-2021. NBU Working Papers, 2/2023. Kyiv: National Bank of Ukraine. Retrieved from https://bank.gov.ua/admin_uploads/article/WP_2023-02_Grui_et_al.pdf

Grui, A., Liebman, J., Nikolaychuk, S., Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, A. (2022). Choosing a Taylor rule with limited data availability: The benchmark approach. NBU Working Papers, 3/2022. Kyiv: National Bank of Ukraine. Retrieved from https://bank.gov.ua/admin_uploads/article/WP_2022-03_Grui_Liebman_Nikolaychuk_Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy_eng.pdf

Savolchuk, K., Grui, A. (2022). Endogenous monetary policy credibility in Ukraine. NBU Working Papers, 2/2022. Kyiv: National Bank of Ukraine. Retrieved from https://bank.gov.ua/admin_uploads/article/WP_2022-02_Savolchuk_Grui_eng.pdf

Grui, A. (2020). Uncovered interest parity with foreign exchange interventions under exchange rate peg and inflation targeting: The case of Ukraine. IHEID Working Papers, 14-2020. Geneva: The Graduate Institute of International Studies. Retrieved from http://repec.graduateinstitute.ch/pdfs/Working_papers/HEIDWP14-2020.pdf

Grui, A., Vdovychenko, A. (2019). Quarterly projection model for Ukraine. NBU Working Papers, 3/2019. Kyiv: National Bank of Ukraine. Retrieved from https://bank.gov.ua/admin_uploads/article/WP_2019-03_Grui_Vdovychenko_ua.pdf